Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.038362 0.041477 0.044750 0.048451 0.052525 0.056879 0.061894
2025-03-16 0.032653 0.036933 0.041679 0.047354 0.053981 0.061507 0.070747
2025-03-23 0.029093 0.034032 0.039735 0.046851 0.055551 0.065917 0.079315
2025-03-30 0.026469 0.031802 0.038165 0.046386 0.056823 0.069766 0.087241
2025-04-06 0.024163 0.029679 0.036439 0.045429 0.057214 0.072338 0.093545
2025-04-13 0.022891 0.028693 0.035982 0.045942 0.059396 0.077234 0.103175
2025-04-20 0.021601 0.027559 0.035210 0.045916 0.060773 0.081057 0.111553
2025-04-27 0.020715 0.026872 0.034943 0.046498 0.062950 0.086059 0.121952
2025-05-04 0.019636 0.025845 0.034132 0.046238 0.063872 0.089282 0.129926
2025-05-11 0.018704 0.024954 0.033437 0.046064 0.064860 0.092610 0.138273
2025-05-18 0.017829 0.024085 0.032710 0.045774 0.065621 0.095601 0.146285
2025-05-25 0.017101 0.023379 0.032163 0.045697 0.066666 0.099057 0.155293
2025-06-01 0.016234 0.022437 0.031236 0.045006 0.066733 0.101005 0.162016
2025-06-08 0.015374 0.021462 0.030210 0.044099 0.066390 0.102250 0.167621
2025-06-15 0.014708 0.020741 0.029518 0.043660 0.066751 0.104650 0.175440
2025-06-22 0.014098 0.020070 0.028866 0.043237 0.067095 0.107017 0.183379
2025-06-29 0.013418 0.019263 0.027965 0.042360 0.066612 0.107907 0.188608
2025-07-06 0.013112 0.019011 0.027904 0.042831 0.068428 0.112924 0.202159
2025-07-13 0.012709 0.018591 0.027557 0.042808 0.069377 0.116445 0.213100
2025-07-20 0.012457 0.018393 0.027549 0.043342 0.071328 0.121919 0.228505
2025-07-27 0.012051 0.017934 0.027102 0.043103 0.071872 0.124795 0.238801
2025-08-03 0.011686 0.017525 0.026714 0.042943 0.072542 0.127943 0.249973
2025-08-10 0.011319 0.017099 0.026281 0.042677 0.072993 0.130688 0.260526